Waning and Waxing (11)
Volume 4: Peace and Development · Chapter 51
Effective expansion of departmental interests is the primary task of all departments in a modern government. This is not to create internal division, but based on realistic needs. Therefore, various departments within the Republic government have a consensus on compulsory education for all and the comprehensive development of education. The divergence only lies in 'how each department should allocate the outstanding personnel produced through education.'
There is bound to be contention between various departments. To coordinate and solve this problem, a person of He Rui's level has to come forward. In other words, the reason why there is a supreme leader within the organization who has the final say is to make decisions on such endlessly debated issues.
What He Rui had to do was not like an accountant or a butcher, allocating existing products.
He Rui had to make a prediction about future situational developments and persuade the heads of various departments to accept this prediction. To use a more high-end and classy phrase, this is called 'strategic judgment.' In the current central government, those who believed in He Rui's strategic judgment clearly occupied an absolute advantage.
Seeing that the core comrades were still relatively hesitant, He Rui could only continue to persuade everyone. "Comrades, everyone has seen the forecast of external conditions for the First Five-Year Plan. We have enough time and space worldwide. The only one that requires the use of strategic resources is Japan. Therefore, I think we have the leisure to build from a more basic organizational structure. The government's brand-new economic development model itself is the maximum arrangement allowed under this leisure."
None of the five department heads answered immediately. Everyone recalled the many analysis reports that needed to be prepared before formulating the Five-Year Plan. Before the content of the analysis reports became reality, these contents led by He Rui undoubtedly felt 'visionary and unconstrained.' But everyone had to believe it.
According to the plan, 1925 was the first year of the Republic's First Five-Year Plan. In the external analysis, He Rui conducted a comprehensive analysis of the economic situation of various countries on this planet that could affect the world situation.
Currently, the strongest industrial country in the world was the United States. Domestic industry in the United States was booming, and labor productivity was booming, but the consumption power of workers who relied purely on labor to make money did not increase by such a large margin. In order to increase consumption power, the United States fully launched models such as 'installment payments,' with a wide variety of consumer loans targeting the public. The Chinese idiom 'eating next year's food this year' [living beyond one's means] was an excellent description of this situation.
In He Rui's history, this period was called the 'Roaring Twenties.' To make money, money was invested in finance such as stocks, triggering a stock market surge. For capital owners, this profit was simply not enough. In order to make money faster, various financial derivatives were generated immediately.
Just looking at those constantly renewing gimmicks in the financial market, the United States was truly like 'adding flowers to brocade and cooking oil over a roaring fire' [dazzling prosperity]. It was dazzling, making one feel as if the United States had overcome the 'economic crisis' and entered a channel of permanent prosperity.
Analyzing from the perspective of political economy, one could immediately reach the judgment that something big was about to happen in the United States. Wealth in the United States was concentrating rapidly, with 90% of the wealth flowing into the hands of 10% of the people. The remaining 90% of the people only owned 10% of the wealth. In order to survive, 90% of the population struggled to exist and had to participate in the financial game, looking forward to getting rich overnight and escaping the life of hardship from then on.
With He Rui's guidance, a team submitted a report to the Central Committee of the Civilization Party, believing that by 1928-1929, a comprehensive economic crisis would break out in the United States. Since its financial products covered most American property owners, this crisis would be devastating and might completely change the current economic model and system of the United States.
The outbreak of the Great Financial Crisis in the United States coincided with the end of the First Five-Year Plan.
The core of the Versailles system was to maintain the British and French colonial system. The economic space of this system was relatively large, but the plunder of colonial people by colonialist countries would only become deeper and deeper. Its contradictions would only become sharper and sharper.
However, Europe and America would not be directly overthrown. After all, their advantage relative to the vast oppressed people in colonial countries was too great; the colonialists could not be defeated by the people in the vast colonies alone. Moreover, with the improvement of productivity levels, countries like Britain and France would also constantly change their means of plunder, shifting from direct plunder of materials to a more effective model of plundering labor. This also made some locally educated people in the colonies depend more closely on colonial countries like Britain and France economically and politically.
Both Germany and the Soviet Union were clamped down by the Versailles system. Germany's domestic industrial base was still there. Because the army was still on foreign territory when Germany surrendered, Germany's domestic industrial system was not damaged during the war.
Germany's biggest problem, the debt problem, also washed away domestic debt through a round of hyperinflation. Foreign debt began to be renegotiated. Coupled with the injection of American capital, the German economy was entering a brand-new period of high-speed development. Germany at this time still had an economy but no fangs.
On the Soviet side, after Lenin's death, the New Economic Policy completely finished. Stalin and Trotsky had various differences and contradictions, but the two were very consistent in implementing the command-style economic development model. And Stalin was very clear about developing foreign import and export; Sino-Soviet trade would develop very well.
Based on the current situation, He Rui believed that capitalist countries around the world would fall into a huge economic crisis with a chain reaction in 1928-1929. At that stage, no country would have the power to wage foreign wars. No matter how intense the contradictions were before, they would have to make concessions to maintain the economy at that time.
With such a relaxed external environment, the Republic government had huge space to construct a brand-new government management system that would take several years to complete.
He Rui's persuasiveness was sufficient, and everyone was willing to trust He Rui's judgment. Even so, the development plan proposed by He Rui still made the comrades feel resistance caused by a certain sense of incongruity.
Based on a future founded purely on predictions, they had to complete a government management system in such a future time that could only be understood in principle but had never appeared in human history.
To really throw oneself into it without hesitation, it would be strange not to feel a sense of incongruity.
The meeting lasted all afternoon, and He Rui explained a great many issues in detail. The meeting continued after dinner.
Until late at night, the comrades who were actually exhausted were all excited, as if they were full of endless energy. Because the comrades' hearts were indeed filled with excitement brought about by acquiring a large amount of knowledge system adjustment, the brain's excitement completely overwhelmed the body's fatigue, giving everyone a false sense of strength.
He Rui had more experience in this regard. He knew that the comrades were actually exhausted. So he said, "That's it for today. Everyone go back and rest well. We will continue the discussion tomorrow afternoon. I require you to sleep in and rest for the whole morning."
"It's not that serious, is it?" Zhao Tianlin laughed.
He Rui asked Zhao Tianlin to raise his hand, and it was seen that Zhao Tianlin's right hand had unknowingly swollen a little.
"The brain is the organ that consumes the most energy in the human body. A large amount of thinking consumes energy while also producing a large amount of waste. Minister Zhao's hand is affected because this waste cannot be eliminated quickly. Listen to my request; you must rest for the whole morning."
The comrades didn't answer and were silent for a good while. Xu Jia was the first to speak, "I won't come to the meeting tomorrow afternoon. I'll state my position now: I support Chairman He's arrangement. After other comrades finish discussing, just give me the document on work division directly."
Hearing Xu Jia say this, Zhao Tianlin and others expressed the same. The meeting ended without full discussion. He Rui's request was passed, deciding that the largest piece of system construction in the Republic's future Five-Year Plan would enter the construction period.